Tranexamic acid versus placebo in individuals with intracerebral haemorrhage treated within 2 h of symptom onset (STOP-MSU): an international, double-blind, randomised, phase 2 trial.

BACKGROUND: Tranexamic acid, an antifibrinolytic agent, might attenuate haematoma growth after an intracerebral haemorrhage. We aimed to determine whether treatment with intravenous tranexamic acid within 2 h of an intracerebral haemorrhage would reduce haematoma growth compared with placebo. METHODS: STOP-MSU was an investigator-led, double-blind, randomised, phase 2 trial conducted at 24 hospitals and one mobile stroke unit in Australia, Finland, New Zealand, Taiwan, and Viet Nam. Eligible participants had acute spontaneous intracerebral haemorrhage confirmed on non-contrast CT, were aged 18 years or older, and could be treated with the investigational product within 2 h of stroke onset. Using randomly permuted blocks (block size of 4) and a concealed pre-randomised assignment procedure, participants were randomly assigned (1:1) to receive intravenous tranexamic acid (1 g over 10 min followed by 1 g over 8 h) or placebo (saline; matched dosing regimen) commencing within 2 h of symptom onset. Participants, investigators, and treating teams were masked to group assignment. The primary outcome was haematoma growth, defined as either at least 33% relative growth or at least 6 mL absolute growth on CT at 24 h (target range 18-30 h) from the baseline CT. The analysis was conducted within the estimand framework with primary analyses adhering to the intention-to-treat principle. The primary endpoint and secondary safety endpoints (mortality at days 7 and 90 and major thromboembolic events at day 90) were assessed in all participants randomly assigned to treatment groups who did not withdraw consent to use any data. This study was registered with ClinicalTrials.gov, NCT03385928, and the trial is now complete. FINDINGS: Between March 19, 2018, and Feb 27, 2023, 202 participants were recruited, of whom one withdrew consent for any data use. The remaining 201 participants were randomly assigned to either placebo (n=98) or tranexamic acid (n=103; intention-to-treat population). Median age was 66 years (IQR 55-77), and 82 (41%) were female and 119 (59%) were male; no data on race or ethnicity were collected. CT scans at baseline or follow-up were missing or of inadequate quality in three participants (one in the placebo group and two in the tranexamic acid group), and were considered missing at random. Haematoma growth occurred in 37 (38%) of 97 assessable participants in the placebo group and 43 (43%) of 101 assessable participants in the tranexamic acid group (adjusted odds ratio [aOR] 1·31 [95% CI 0·72 to 2·40], p=0·37). Major thromboembolic events occurred in one (1%) of 98 participants in the placebo group and three (3%) of 103 in the tranexamic acid group (risk difference 0·02 [95% CI -0·02 to 0·06]). By 7 days, eight (8%) participants in the placebo group and eight (8%) in the tranexamic acid group had died (aOR 1·08 [95% CI 0·35 to 3·35]) and by 90 days, 15 (15%) participants in the placebo group and 19 (18%) in the tranexamic acid group had died (aOR 1·61 [95% CI 0·65 to 3·98]). INTERPRETATION: Intravenous tranexamic acid did not reduce haematoma growth when administered within 2 h of intracerebral haemorrhage symptom onset. There were no observed effects on other imaging endpoints, functional outcome, or safety. Based on our results, tranexamic acid should not be used routinely in primary intracerebral haemorrhage, although results of ongoing phase 3 trials will add further context to these findings. FUNDING: Australian Government Medical Research Future Fund.

Management of Poststroke Hyperglycemia: Results of the TEXAIS Randomized Clinical Trial.

BACKGROUND: Hyperglycemia in acute ischemic stroke reduces the efficacy of stroke thrombolysis and thrombectomy, with worse clinical outcomes. Insulin-based therapies are difficult to implement and may cause hypoglycemia. We investigated whether exenatide, a GLP-1 (glucagon-like peptide-1) receptor agonist, would improve stroke outcomes, and control poststroke hyperglycemia with minimal hypoglycemia. METHODS: The TEXAIS trial (Treatment With Exenatide in Acute Ischemic Stroke) was an international, multicenter, phase 2 prospective randomized clinical trial (PROBE [Prospective Randomized Open Blinded End-Point] design) enrolling adult patients with acute ischemic stroke ≤9 hours of stroke onset to receive exenatide (5 µg BID subcutaneous injection) or standard care for 5 days, or until hospital discharge (whichever sooner). The primary outcome (intention to treat) was the proportion of patients with ≥8-point improvement in National Institutes of Health Stroke Scale score (or National Institutes of Health Stroke Scale scores 0-1) at 7 days poststroke. Safety outcomes included death, episodes of hyperglycemia, hypoglycemia, and adverse event. RESULTS: From April 2016 to June 2021, 350 patients were randomized (exenatide, n=177, standard care, n=173). Median age, 71 years (interquartile range, 62-79), median National Institutes of Health Stroke Scale score, 4 (interquartile range, 2-8). Planned recruitment (n=528) was stopped early due to COVID-19 disruptions and funding constraints. The primary outcome was achieved in 97 of 171 (56.7%) in the standard care group versus 104 of 170 (61.2%) in the exenatide group (adjusted odds ratio, 1.22 [95% CI, 0.79-1.88]; P=0.38). No differences in secondary outcomes were observed. The per-patient mean daily frequency of hyperglycemia was significantly less in the exenatide group across all quartiles. No episodes of hypoglycemia were recorded over the treatment period. Adverse events of mild nausea and vomiting occurred in 6 (3.5%) exenatide patients versus 0 (0%) standard care with no withdrawal. CONCLUSIONS: Treatment with exenatide did not reduce neurological impairment at 7 days in patients with acute ischemic stroke. Exenatide did significantly reduce the frequency of hyperglycemic events, without hypoglycemia, and was safe to use. Larger acute stroke trials using GLP-1 agonists such as exenatide should be considered. REGISTRATION: URL: www.australianclinicaltrials.gov.au; Unique identifier: ACTRN12617000409370. URL: https://www.clinicaltrials.gov; Unique identifier: NCT03287076.

Safety and Efficacy of Tenecteplase and Alteplase in Patients With Tandem Lesion Stroke: A Post Hoc Analysis of the EXTEND-IA TNK Trials.

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVES: The safety and efficacy of tenecteplase (TNK) in patients with tandem lesion (TL) stroke is unknown. We performed a comparative analysis of TNK and alteplase in patients with TLs. METHODS: We first compared the treatment effect of TNK and alteplase in patients with TLs using individual patient data from the EXTEND-IA TNK trials. We evaluated intracranial reperfusion at initial angiographic assessment and 90-day modified Rankin scale (mRS) with ordinal logistic and Firth regression models. Because 2 key outcomes, mortality and symptomatic intracranial hemorrhage (sICH), were few in number among those who received alteplase in the EXTEND-IA TNK trials, we generated pooled estimates for these outcomes by supplementing trial data with estimates of incidence obtained through a meta-analysis of studies identified in a systematic review. We then calculated unadjusted risk differences to compare the pooled estimates for those receiving alteplase with the incidence observed in the trial among those receiving TNK. RESULTS: Seventy-one of 483 patients (15%) in the EXTEND-IA TNK trials possessed a TL. In patients with TLs, intracranial reperfusion was observed in 11/56 (20%) of TNK-treated patients vs 1/15 (7%) alteplase-treated patients (adjusted odds ratio 2.19; 95% CI 0.28-17.29). No significant difference in 90-day mRS was observed (adjusted common odds ratio 1.48; 95% CI 0.44-5.00). A pooled study-level proportion of alteplase-associated mortality and sICH was 0.14 (95% CI 0.08-0.21) and 0.09 (95% CI 0.04-0.16), respectively. Compared with a mortality rate of 0.09 (95% CI 0.03-0.20) and an sICH rate of 0.07 (95% CI 0.02-0.17) in TNK-treated patients, no significant difference was observed. DISCUSSION: Functional outcomes, mortality, and sICH did not significantly differ between patients with TLs treated with TNK and those treated with alteplase. CLASSIFICATION OF EVIDENCE: This study provides Class III evidence that TNK is associated with similar rates of intracranial reperfusion, functional outcome, mortality, and sICH compared with alteplase in patients with acute stroke due to TLs. However, the CIs do not rule out clinically important differences. TRIAL REGISTRATION INFORMATION: clinicaltrials.gov/ct2/show/NCT02388061; clinicaltrials.gov/ct2/show/NCT03340493.

Effects of a Province-wide Triaging System for TIA: The ASPIRE Intervention.

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVES: Urgent transient ischemic attack (TIA) management to reduce stroke recurrence is challenging, particularly in rural and remote areas. In Alberta, Canada, despite an organized stroke system, data from 1999 to 2000 suggested that stroke recurrence after TIA was as high as 9.5% at 90 days. Our objective was to determine whether a multifaceted population-based intervention resulted in a reduction in recurrent stroke after TIA. METHODS: In this quasi-experimental health services research intervention study, we implemented a TIA management algorithm across the entire province, centered around a 24-hour physician's TIA hotline and public and health provider education on TIA. From administrative databases, we linked emergency department discharge abstracts to hospital discharge abstracts to identify incident TIAs and recurrent strokes at 90 days across a single payer system with validation of recurrent stroke events. The primary outcome was recurrent stroke; with a secondary composite outcome of recurrent stroke, acute coronary syndrome, and all-cause death. We used an interrupted time series regression analysis of age-adjusted and sex-adjusted stroke recurrence rates after TIA, incorporating a 2-year preimplementation period (2007-2009), a 15-month implementation period, and a 2-year postimplementation period (2010-2012). Logistic regression was used to examine outcomes that did not fit the time series model. RESULTS: We assessed 6,715 patients preimplementation and 6,956 patients postimplementation. The 90-day stroke recurrence rate in the pre-Alberta Stroke Prevention in TIA and mild Strokes (ASPIRE) period was 4.5% compared with 5.3% during the post-ASPIRE period. There was neither a step change (estimate 0.38; p = 0.65) nor slope change (parameter estimate 0.30; p = 0.12) in recurrent stroke rates associated with the ASPIRE intervention implementation period. Adjusted all-cause mortality (odds ratio 0.71, 95% CI 0.56-0.89) was significantly lower after the ASPIRE intervention. DISCUSSION: The ASPIRE TIA triaging and management interventions did not further reduce stroke recurrence in the context of an organized stroke system. The apparent lower mortality postintervention may be related to improved surveillance after events identified as TIAs, but secular trends cannot be excluded. CLASSIFICATION OF EVIDENCE: This study provides Class III evidence that a standardized population-wide algorithmic triage system for patients with TIA did not reduce recurrent stroke rate.

Door-in-door-out times for patients with large vessel occlusion ischaemic stroke being transferred for endovascular thrombectomy: a Victorian state-wide study.

Background: Time to reperfusion is an important predictor of outcome in ischaemic stroke from large vessel occlusion (LVO). For patients requiring endovascular thrombectomy (EVT), the transfer times from peripheral hospitals in metropolitan and regional Victoria, Australia to comprehensive stroke centres (CSCs) have not been studied. Aims: To determine transfer and journey times for patients with LVO stroke being transferred for consideration of EVT. Methods: All patients transferred for consideration of EVT to three Victorian CSCs from January 2017 to December 2018 were included. Travel times were obtained from records matched to Ambulance Victoria and the referring centre via Victorian Stroke Telemedicine or hospital medical records. Metrics of interest included door-in-door-out time (DIDO), inbound journey time and outbound journey time. Results: Data for 455 transferred patients were obtained, of which 395 (86.8%) underwent EVT. The median DIDO was 107 min (IQR 84-145) for metropolitan sites and 132 min (IQR 108-167) for regional sites. At metropolitan referring hospitals, faster DIDO was associated with use of the same ambulance crew to transport between hospitals (75 (63-90) vs 124 (99-156) min, p<0.001) and the administration of thrombolysis prior to transfer (101 (79-133) vs 115 (91-155) min, p<0.001). At regional centres, DIDO was consistently longer when patients were transported by air (160 (127-195) vs 116 (100-144) min, p<0.001). The overall door-to-door time by air was shorter than by road for sites located more than 250 km away from the CSC. Conclusion: Transfer times differ significantly for regional and metropolitan patients. A state-wide database to prospectively collect data on all interhospital transfers for EVT would be helpful for future study of optimal transport mode at regional sites and benchmarking of DIDO across the state.

Using body cameras to quantify the duration of a Code Stroke and identify workflow issues: a continuous observation workflow time study.

OBJECTIVE: 'Code Stroke' (Code) is used in health services to streamline hyperacute assessment and treatment delivery for patients with ischaemic stroke. However, there are few studies that detail the time spent on individual components performed during a Code. We sought to quantify the time taken for each process during a Code and investigate associations with modifiable and non-modifiable factors. DESIGN: Continuous observation workflow time study. SETTING AND PARTICIPANTS: Recordings of 100 Codes were performed at a high-volume primary stroke centre in Melbourne, Australia, between January and June 2020 using a body camera worn by a member of the stroke team. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: The main measures included the overall duration of Codes and the individual processes within the Code workflow. Associations between variables of interest and process times were explored using linear regression models. RESULTS: 100 Codes were captured, representing 19.2% of all Codes over the 6 months. The median duration of a complete Code was 54.2 min (IQR 39.1-74.7). Administrative work performed after treatment is completed (median 21.0 min (IQR 9.8-31.4)); multimodal CT imaging (median 13.0 min (IQR 11.5-15.7)), and time between decision and thrombolysis administration (median 8.1 min (IQR 6.1-10.8)) were the longest components of a Code. Tenecteplase was able to be prepared faster than alteplase (median 1.8 vs 4.9 min, p=0.02). The presence of a second junior doctor was associated with shorter administrative work time (median 10.3 vs 25.1 min, p<0.01). No specific modifiable factors were found to be associated with shorter overall Code duration. CONCLUSIONS: Codes are time intensive. Time spent on decision-making was a relatively small component of the overall Code duration. Data from body cameras can provide granular data on all aspects of Code workflow to inform potential areas for improvement at individual centres.

Practical utility of the ACT-FAST triage algorithm from a primary stroke centre perspective.

BACKGROUND: Rapid reperfusion in ischaemic stroke with emergent large vessel occlusion (ELVO) reduces morbidity and mortality. Limited distribution of endovascular clot retrieval (ECR) capable comprehensive stroke centres (CSCs) necessitates development of pre-hospital models of care to provide equitable and economical access to reperfusion therapy. We examine the time metrics of the traditional secondary transfer strategy in comparison to the direct bypass strategy and the potential utility of the ACT-FAST prehospital triage algorithm on a large volume Melbourne primary stroke centre (PSC). METHOD: Retrospective analysis of consecutive patients presenting to a PSC from 1 January 2020 to 31 December 2020. Clinical records were interrogated for ACT-FAST positive patients. Time metrics were established using Google Maps traffic modelling and local/published door-to-needle, door-in-door out and door-to-groin data. RESULTS: 88 patients during the study period were ACT-FAST positive. Of these, 49/88 (56%) cases had ELVO ischaemic strokes, 24/88 (27%) cases had intracranial haemorrhages and the remaining 15/88 (17%) had non ELVO ischaemic strokes or mimics (seizure, complex migraine, etc). 28/88 (32%) cases met indication for and were subsequently transferred to a CSC for consideration of ECR. The modelled median scene to groin time for the direct bypass strategy is 94 min whereas the median scene to groin time for the secondary transfer strategy is 109 min, giving a difference of 15 min. CONCLUSION: Time savings to groin puncture for the direct bypass strategy is substantially less than previous estimates and suggests that the secondary transfer strategy continues to be a viable pathway for a high efficiency PSC.

Trends in direct oral anticoagulant use in patients presenting with acute stroke.

Acute ischaemic strokes occur despite the use of direct oral anticoagulants (DOACs). A retrospective review was conducted at a high-volume primary stroke centre over a 3-year period to assess the acute management of stroke presentations in patients prescribed DOACs. During the time period of the study, 103 of 195 anticoagulated stroke patients presented within the timeframe for thrombolysis and only 15 patients had DOAC plasma level assays performed. Of these 103, 5 received thrombolysis; however, DOAC level was not a factor in these cases.

Association of Endovascular Thrombectomy With Functional Outcome in Patients With Acute Stroke With a Large Ischemic Core.

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVES: Endovascular thrombectomy (EVT) is effective for patients with large vessel occlusion (LVO) stroke with smaller volumes of CT perfusion (CTP)-defined ischemic core. However, the benefit of EVT is unclear in those with a core volume >70 mL. We aimed to compare outcomes of EVT and non-EVT patients with an ischemic core volume ≥70 mL, hypothesizing that there would be a benefit from EVT for fair outcome (3-month modified Rankin scale [mRS] 0-3) after stroke. METHODS: A retrospective analysis of patients enrolled into a multicenter (Australia, China, and Canada) registry (2012-2020) who underwent CTP within 24 hours of stroke onset and had a baseline ischemic core volume ≥70 mL was performed. The primary outcome was the estimation of the association of EVT in patients with core volume ≥70 mL and within 70-100 and ≥100 mL subgroups with fair outcome. RESULTS: Of the 3,283 patients in the registry, 299 had CTP core volume ≥70 mL and 269 complete data (135 had core volume between 70 and 100 mL and 134 had core volume ≥100 mL). EVT was performed in 121 (45%) patients. EVT-treated patients were younger (median 69 vs 75 years; p = 0.011), had lower prestroke mRS, and smaller median core volumes (92 [79-116.5] mL vs 105.5 [85.75-138] mL, p = 0.004). EVT-treated patients had higher odds of achieving fair outcome in adjusted analysis (30% vs 13.9% in the non-EVT group; adjusted odds ratio [aOR] 2.1, 95% CI 1-4.2, p = 0.038). The benefit was seen predominantly in those with 70-100 mL core volume (71/135 [52.6%] EVT-treated), with 54.3% in the EVT-treated vs 21% in the non-EVT group achieving a fair outcome (aOR 2.5, 95% CI 1-6.2, p = 0.005). Of those with a core volume ≥100 mL, 50 of the 134 (37.3%) underwent EVT. Proportions of fair outcome were very low in both groups (8.1% vs 8.7%; p = 0.908). DISCUSSION: We found a positive association of EVT with the 3-month outcome after stroke in patients with a baseline CTP ischemic core volume 70-100 mL but not in those with core volume ≥100 mL. Randomized data to confirm these findings are required. CLASSIFICATION OF EVIDENCE: This study provides Class III evidence that EVT is associated with better motor outcomes 3 months after CTP-defined ischemic stroke with a core volume of 70-100 mL.

Large Vessel Occlusion Sites Affect Agreement Between Outputs of Three Computed Tomography Perfusion Software Packages.

OBJECTIVES: Computed tomography perfusion (CTP) data are important for hyperacute stroke decision making. Available comparisons between outputs of different CTP software packages show variable outcomes. Evaluation for factors associated with agreement between the volume estimates is limited. We assessed for differences in core and penumbra volume estimates of three CTP software packages - AutoMIStar, RAPID, and Vitrea - and analyzed factors associated with agreement between the volume estimates. MATERIALS AND METHODS: Differences between software estimates of penumbra and core volumes were calculated for each patient with suspected acute ischemic stroke who underwent CTP. Exploratory hierarchical clustering and principal component analysis were performed to identify factors of decreased volume estimate agreement. Two-sample t-tests were performed, stratified by large vessel occlusion (LVO) location. RESULTS: 579 CTP studies were performed; 267 were normal, 139 artifacts, with 172 included in the final analysis. 79/172 had LVO of internal carotid artery (ICA, n = 20), M1 (n = 38) and proximal M2 (n = 21). LVO was the only factor associated with decreased software package agreement, and proximal LVO location was associated with general trend of increasing mean differences and standard deviations between software packages (range of mean differences [SD]: non-LVO, -17-6 [4-33] ml; M2, -40-13 [5-39] ml; M1, -43-26 [16-58] ml; ICA, -76-39 [22-97] ml). CONCLUSIONS: Core and penumbra volume estimates can be affected by LVO location significantly between CTP software packages.

Caught in Action - Evolving Emergent Large Vessel Occlusion and Collateral Failure During Alteplase Infusion for Acute Ischemic Stroke.

BACKGROUND: Published reports of acute deterioration during alteplase infusion for acute ischemic stroke due to development of partial to complete large vessel occlusion and collateral failure are sparce. MATERIALS AND METHODS: We describe an 84-year-old patient with a fluctuating clinical course due to evolving emergent large vessel occlusion of right M1 segment of the middle cerebral artery and collateral failure during alteplase infusion. Potential mechanisms of acute deterioration within 24 h after thrombolysis are discussed. RESULTS: Urgent mechanical thrombectomy was performed with resultant partial recanalization and small volume residual infarcts at 72 h magnetic resonance imaging of brain. CONCLUSIONS: Progression from partial to complete occlusion may occur within minutes, even during administration of intravenous thrombolytics in hyper-acute stroke. In patients who deteriorate within 24 h of stroke onset, non-contrast CT of brain, followed by CT perfusion and angiography, is the imaging protocol of choice in the mechanical thrombectomy era.

The quest to reduce stroke treatment delays at a Melbourne metropolitan primary stroke centre over the past two decades.

BACKGROUND: Reducing door-to-needle time (DNT) for intravenous thrombolysis in acute ischaemic stroke can lead to improved patient outcomes. Long-term reports on DNT trends in Australia are lacking in the setting of extension of the thrombolysis time window, addition of mechanical thrombectomy and increasing presentations. AIMS: To examine 17-year trends of DNT and identify factors associated with improved DNT at a high-volume, metropolitan primary stroke centre. METHOD: Retrospective study between 2003 and 2019 of all thrombolysis cases using departmental stroke database. Since most strategies were implemented from 2012 onwards, intervention period has been defined as period 2012-2019. Factors associated with DNT reduction were examined by regression modelling. RESULTS: Fifteen strategies were identified including alterations to 'Code Stroke' processes. One thousand, two hundred and fifty patients were thrombolysed, with 737 (58.8%) treated during the intervention period. The proportion of DNT ≤60-min rose from average of 22.5% during 2003-2012 to 63% during 2015-2018 and 71% in 2019. However, median DNT has only marginally improved from 58 to 51 min between 2015 and 2019. Faster DNT was independently associated with two modifiable workflow factors, 'Direct-to-CT' protocol (P < 0.001) and acute stroke nurse presence (P < 0.005). Over time, treated patients were older and less independent (P < 0.001), and the number of annual stroke admissions and 'Code Stroke' activations have risen by fourfold and 10-fold to 748 and 1298 by 2019 respectively. CONCLUSIONS: Targeted quality improvement initiatives are key to reducing thrombolysis treatment delays in the Australian metropolitan setting. Relative stagnation in DNT improvement is concerning and needs further investigation.

Early space-occupying cerebellar oedema requiring decompressive craniectomy following a clinically minor stroke.

We describe a patient presented with clinically a small cerebellar ischaemic stroke but required emergency decompression within 24 hours of symptoms onset after incidental finding of severe mass effect on imaging without any change in her mild clinical symptoms. Her initial multimodal acute stroke imaging, non-contrast CT of the brain and CT angiography from aortic arch to vertex were normal. CT perfusion showed a very small deficit only. The malignant mass effect was picked on an MRI scan performed routinely as part of a clinical trial, 32 hours after stroke. Our case highlights stroke evolution, and mass effect may be insidious and faster than anticipated in the posterior fossa. Cerebellar stroke of any severity diagnosed clinically and radiologically may benefit from routine follow-up imaging at 24 hours from onset.

Permeability Measures Predict Hemorrhagic Transformation after Ischemic Stroke.

OBJECTIVE: We sought to examine the diagnostic utility of existing predictors of any hemorrhagic transformation (HT) and compare them with new perfusion imaging permeability measures in ischemic stroke patients receiving alteplase only. METHODS: A pixel-based analysis of pretreatment CT perfusion (CTP) was undertaken to define the optimal CTP permeability thresholds to predict the likelihood of HT. We then compared previously proposed predictors of HT using regression analyses and receiver operating characteristic curve analysis to produce an area under the curve (AUC). We compared AUCs using χ2 analysis. RESULTS: From 5 centers, 1,407 patients were included in this study; of these, 282 had HT. The cohort was split into a derivation cohort (1,025, 70% patients) and a validation cohort (382 patients or 30%). The extraction fraction (E) permeability map at a threshold of 30% relative to contralateral had the highest AUC at predicting any HT (derivation AUC 0.85, 95% confidence interval [CI], 0.79-0.91; validation AUC 0.84, 95% CI 0.77-0.91). The AUC improved when permeability was assessed within the acute perfusion lesion for the E maps at a threshold of 30% (derivation AUC 0.91, 95% CI 0.86-0.95; validation AUC 0.89, 95% CI 0.86-0.95). Previously proposed associations with HT and parenchymal hematoma showed lower AUC values than the permeability measure. INTERPRETATION: In this large multicenter study, we have validated a highly accurate measure of HT prediction. This measure might be useful in clinical practice to predict hemorrhagic transformation in ischemic stroke patients before receiving alteplase alone. ANN NEUROL 2020;88:466-476.

Developing a multivariable prediction model for functional outcome after reperfusion therapy for acute ischaemic stroke: study protocol for the Targeting Optimal Thrombolysis Outcomes (TOTO) multicentre cohort study.

INTRODUCTION: Intravenous thrombolysis (IVT) with recombinant tissue plasminogen activator (rt-PA) is the only approved pharmacological reperfusion therapy for acute ischaemic stroke. Despite population benefit, IVT is not equally effective in all patients, nor is it without significant risk. Uncertain treatment outcome prediction complicates patient treatment selection. This study will develop and validate predictive algorithms for IVT response, using clinical, radiological and blood-based biomarker measures. A secondary objective is to develop predictive algorithms for endovascular thrombectomy (EVT), which has been proven as an effective reperfusion therapy since study inception. METHODS AND ANALYSIS: The Targeting Optimal Thrombolysis Outcomes Study is a multicenter prospective cohort study of ischaemic stroke patients treated at participating Australian Stroke Centres with IVT and/or EVT. Patients undergo neuroimaging using multimodal CT or MRI at baseline with repeat neuroimaging 24 hours post-treatment. Baseline and follow-up blood samples are provided for research use. The primary outcome is good functional outcome at 90 days poststroke, defined as a modified Rankin Scale (mRS) Score of 0-2. Secondary outcomes are reperfusion, recanalisation, infarct core growth, change in stroke severity, poor functional outcome, excellent functional outcome and ordinal mRS at 90 days. Primary predictive models will be developed and validated in patients treated only with rt-PA. Models will be built using regression methods and include clinical variables, radiological measures from multimodal neuroimaging and blood-based biomarkers measured by mass spectrometry. Predictive accuracy will be quantified using c-statistics and R2. In secondary analyses, models will be developed in patients treated using EVT, with or without prior IVT, reflecting practice changes since original study design. ETHICS AND DISSEMINATION: Patients, or relatives when patients could not consent, provide written informed consent to participate. This study received approval from the Hunter New England Local Health District Human Research Ethics Committee (reference 14/10/15/4.02). Findings will be disseminated via peer-reviewed publications and conference presentations.